Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1.013167 1.237624 1.478054 1.752557 2.055182 2.376703 2.742228
2024-10-06 0.703996 1.002011 1.347656 1.768743 2.259244 2.804932 3.450566
2024-10-13 0.536253 0.862062 1.263316 1.774641 2.391851 3.098110 3.953410
2024-10-20 0.397954 0.730765 1.167054 1.747773 2.472037 3.321588 4.371025
2024-10-27 0.357044 0.718573 1.212442 1.887849 2.746781 3.768829 5.045553
2024-11-03 0.318080 0.700991 1.245096 2.007867 2.994819 4.183893 5.683527
2024-11-10 0.285022 0.685623 1.276167 2.122584 3.234373 4.588149 6.309303
2024-11-17 0.256990 0.672915 1.307528 2.235471 3.470611 4.988489 6.931626
2024-11-24 0.216451 0.631544 1.292289 2.281521 3.618510 5.278782 7.420688
2024-12-01 0.173498 0.576888 1.251160 2.287223 3.710604 5.497654 7.821682
2024-12-08 0.124814 0.498555 1.164969 2.222735 3.704971 5.590263 8.065136
2024-12-15 0.085540 0.426413 1.079763 2.152595 3.686254 5.662130 8.279647
2024-12-22 0.059198 0.376281 1.029757 2.137481 3.749884 5.850950 8.656546
2024-12-29 0.043364 0.346913 1.012976 2.171584 3.882231 6.131006 9.152175
2025-01-05 0.028474 0.310297 0.977481 2.172698 3.965416 6.344759 9.562375
2025-01-12 0.015818 0.268554 0.925963 2.144308 4.004135 6.498594 9.895944
2025-01-19 0.015565 0.283139 0.988415 2.301444 4.310457 7.008699 10.686977
2025-01-26 0.014193 0.291033 1.037070 2.436468 4.585781 7.478917 11.428801
2025-02-02 0.012638 0.296896 1.081452 2.564871 4.852349 7.938685 12.158944
2025-02-09 0.011140 0.302032 1.124250 2.691044 5.116474 8.396352 12.888042
2025-02-16 0.007363 0.287186 1.122593 2.742409 5.271401 8.708285 13.430498
2025-02-23 0.003613 0.262089 1.095300 2.748772 5.359307 8.929817 13.856447
2025-03-02 0.000650 0.220786 1.024590 2.676818 5.328688 8.989659 14.071999